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2024-12-14 11:19:03

Of course, I have to say that in the last two trading days, my prediction has been severely hit in the face by the market. And the market has been very strong recently. From a technical point of view, when there is a great probability of falling, the market abruptly pulls two positive lines. So my point of view is not necessarily correct. It only represents my personal shallow thinking about the market. Does not represent any investment advice.Back to the topic, why do you judge this? Three specific reasons:Third, I have been worried that the CSI 2000 index and the micro-cap stock index, which have been rising continuously, are at risk of a pullback. In fact, this morning, we saw signs of weakness in the trend of small-cap stocks, but they were finally pulled up by the main force to turn the tide. Although turning the corner, it can't hide the fact that small and micro-cap stocks have risen too high. I have repeatedly said that these small-cap stocks need to be adjusted! Just like the story of the wolf coming, everyone may think that it is not, because everyone has not seen the adjustment of small and micro-stocks. But the story of the wolf coming, the final result is "the wolf really came." We still need to clearly understand that the CSI 2000 Index, the daily wedge structure, the top deviation of the daily index, the breakdown of the upper rail of the daily bollinger Band index, etc., are some signals that indicate serious overbought in the short term.


Third, I have been worried that the CSI 2000 index and the micro-cap stock index, which have been rising continuously, are at risk of a pullback. In fact, this morning, we saw signs of weakness in the trend of small-cap stocks, but they were finally pulled up by the main force to turn the tide. Although turning the corner, it can't hide the fact that small and micro-cap stocks have risen too high. I have repeatedly said that these small-cap stocks need to be adjusted! Just like the story of the wolf coming, everyone may think that it is not, because everyone has not seen the adjustment of small and micro-stocks. But the story of the wolf coming, the final result is "the wolf really came." We still need to clearly understand that the CSI 2000 Index, the daily wedge structure, the top deviation of the daily index, the breakdown of the upper rail of the daily bollinger Band index, etc., are some signals that indicate serious overbought in the short term.But as a veteran of the technical school, I have to go back to the technical side to solve the problem. News will have an impact, but in the trading hours of a year, the time period with frequent news should be considered as a small part of the whole. Therefore, we must not give up eating because of choking, and technology is still the most important means of market analysis.Second, the market will encounter an obvious pressure point tomorrow. Please look at the chart below, the daily chart of the Shanghai Composite Index. In the picture, I use three color lines to mark the short-term pressure lines respectively.


From the above picture, you can see three pressure lines: red, blue and black. These three pressure lines basically form a relatively dense resultant pressure zone at the current position. Therefore, it is actually more difficult for the index to attack upwards tomorrow.Statement of the work: Personal opinion, for reference only.Therefore, based on the above analysis, I personally think that it is more likely that the Shanghai Composite Index will rise and fall tomorrow. So how will A shares go tomorrow? Please have a look at the hand-drawn forecast chart about tomorrow's trend.

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